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‘The Odyssey’ Oscar odds surge after another box-office win
Дата публикации: 27-07-2026 19:00:00
Christopher Nolan's epic is climbing further into Best Picture, Director, and acting contention — with Gold Derby experts now putting Matt Damon and Anne Hathaway out front.
Основное содержимое страницы с новостью.
On the heels of another monster box-office weekend, The Odyssey isn't slowing down — and neither are its Oscar odds.
Christopher Nolan's epic grossed another $87 million in its second weekend, a modest 30% drop from its $123.5 million debut and the best second-weekend hold of Nolan's career, edging out The Dark Knight. The Homeric film has now crossed $639 million globally, and Imax reports most of its 70mm showtimes are sold out into September.
That enthusiasm for the movie is showing up in Gold Derby's Oscar odds.
In Best Picture, The Odyssey sits in second place among combined users, trailing only Project Hail Mary as everyday moviegoers continue to update their predictions. Among experts, though, the film is out front — with every expert predicting a nomination.
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The Only Living Pickpocket in New York
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Whalefall
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The Uprising
Focus
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Madden
Amazon MGM
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Mother Mary
A24
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PARK CITY, UTAH - JANUARY 24: (L-R) Eleanor Wilson and Alex Huston Fischer attend the "Wicker" Premiere during the 2026 Sundance Film Festival at Eccles Center Theater on January 24, 2026 in Park City, Utah. (Photo by Dia Dipasupil/Getty Images)
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The Get Out
Vertical
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The Wizard of the Kremlin
Vertical
The Wizard of the Kremlin
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Pressure
Focus
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AUSTIN, TEXAS - MARCH 17: Fernando Meirelles attends the "Beast Race (Corrida dos Bichos)" premiere during 2026 SXSW Conference and Festival at The Paramount Theatre on March 17, 2026 in Austin, Texas. (Photo by Erika Goldring/Getty Images)
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Ha-Chan
SPC
Ha-Chan, Shake Your Booty!
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Poetic License
Row K
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PARK CITY, UTAH - JANUARY 26: Stephanie Ahn attends the 29th Annual SAGindie Filmmakers Luncheon at Sundance at Cafe Terigo on January 26, 2026 in Park City, Utah. (Photo by Fred Hayes/Getty Images for SAGindie)
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Gail Daughtry
SPC
Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity Sex Pass
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PARK CITY, UTAH - JANUARY 20: Anton Corbijn attends Stacy’s Roots to Rise Market at the 2023 Sundance Film Festival in Park City, UT on January 20, 2023. (Photo by Presley Ann/Getty Images for Stacy's Pita Chips)
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Harmonia
Bleecker Street
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The Dog Stars
20th Century
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The Weight
Vertical
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HOLLYWOOD, CALIFORNIA - MARCH 10: Arthur Harari and Justine Triet, winners of Original Screenplay award for 'Anatomy of Fall' pose in the press room during the 96th Annual Academy Awards at Ovation Hollywood on March 10, 2024 in Hollywood, California. (Photo by Rodin Eckenroth/Getty Images)
Rodin Eckenroth/Getty Images
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Couture
Vertical
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Forgotten Island
DreamWorks
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Brian Cox
Andrew Morales for Variety
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Bitter Christmas
Warner Bros.
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The Christophers
Neon
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Never After Dark
Magnolia
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Hope
Neon
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In the Hand of Dante
Netflix
Nolan himself is in an even stronger position. He leads the combined Best Director odds at 86.06%, up 2% this week, and experts have him at a clean 100%, with no one betting against a nomination.
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Phil Lord, Christopher Miller
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Michael Showalter
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PARK CITY, UTAH - JANUARY 22: Josef Kubota Wladyka attends the "Ha-Chan, Shake Your Booty" Premiere at Eccles Center Theater during the 2026 Sundance Film Festival on January 22, 2026 in Park City, Utah. (Photo by Neilson Barnard/Getty Images)
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PARK CITY, UTAH - JANUARY 26: Stephanie Ahn attends the 29th Annual SAGindie Filmmakers Luncheon at Sundance at Cafe Terigo on January 26, 2026 in Park City, Utah. (Photo by Fred Hayes/Getty Images for SAGindie)
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LONDON, ENGLAND - NOVEMBER 21: Mike Leigh, Lesley Manville, Ruth Sheen, Marion Bailey and Justin Johnson attend the screening and Q&A of Mike Leigh's "All or Nothing" at BFI Southbank on November 21, 2021 in London, England. (Photo by Nicky J Sims/Getty Images for the BFI)
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Guy Nattiv
John Salangsang/Variety
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PARIS, FRANCE - JANUARY 13: Olivier Assayas attends the "Le Mage Du Kremlin" Premiere at Cinematheque Francaise on January 13, 2026 in Paris, France. (Photo by Aurore Marechal/Getty Images)
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LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - MAY 18: Brian Duffield attends the No One Will Save You FYC Event at Linwood Dunn Theater in [Hollywood], California on May 18, 2024. (Photo by Jesse Grant/Getty Images for 20th Century Studios)
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PARK CITY, UTAH - JANUARY 25: (L-R) Julia Jones, Ethan Hawke, Padraic McKinley and Austin Amelio attend The Vulture Spot At The 2026 Sundance Film Festivalon January 25, 2026 in Park City, Utah. (Photo by Robin Marchant/Getty Images for Vulture)
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CANNES, FRANCE - MAY 17: Chuko Esiri and Arie Esiri during an interview and portrait session for "Clarissa" during the 79th annual Cannes Film Festival at CBeach on May 17, 2026 in Cannes, France. (Photo by Gareth Cattermole/Getty Images)
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LONDON, ENGLAND - FEBRUARY 21: Kirk Jones and Cindy Jones attend the 2026 EE BAFTA Film Awards Nominees' Party at the National Gallery on February 21, 2026 in London, England. (Photo by Aurore Marechal/Getty Images)
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HOLLYWOOD, CALIFORNIA - MARCH 10: Arthur Harari and Justine Triet, winners of Original Screenplay award for 'Anatomy of Fall' pose in the press room during the 96th Annual Academy Awards at Ovation Hollywood on March 10, 2024 in Hollywood, California. (Photo by Rodin Eckenroth/Getty Images)
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BERLIN, GERMANY - FEBRUARY 17: Director Matt Johnson poses at the "BlackBerry" photocall during the 73rd Berlinale International Film Festival Berlin at Grand Hyatt Hotel on February 17, 2023 in Berlin, Germany. (Photo by Gerald Matzka/Getty Images)
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PARK CITY, UTAH - JANUARY 20: Anton Corbijn attends Stacy’s Roots to Rise Market at the 2023 Sundance Film Festival in Park City, UT on January 20, 2023. (Photo by Presley Ann/Getty Images for Stacy's Pita Chips)
Presley Ann/Getty Images
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LES ARCS, FRANCE - DECEMBER 14: Alice Winocour attends the Couture Photocall during Day Two of Les Arcs Film Festival on December 14, 2025 in Les Arcs, France. (Photo by Aurore Marechal/Getty Images)
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Pedro Almodovar
Michael Buckner/Variety
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Kent Jones
Michael Buckner/Variety
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Steven Soderbergh
CHRIS CHEW/UPI/Newscom/The Mega Agency
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Ridley Scott
Stewart Cook/Variety
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Never After Dark
Magnolia
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PARK CITY, UTAH - JANUARY 27: Noah Segan attends "The Only Living Pickpocket In New York" Premiere during the 2026 Sundance Film Festival at Eccles Center Theater on January 27, 2026 in Park City, Utah. (Photo by Dia Dipasupil/Getty Images)
Dia Dipasupil/Getty Images
Matt Damon's Odysseus is having a moment, too. He jumped 10% in the combined Best Actor odds, good for fourth place behind Tom Cruise (Digger), John Malkovich (Wild Horse Nine), and Ryan Gosling (Project Hail Mary). Experts are far more bullish: Damon is up 9% there and is the outright favorite.
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LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - JULY 31: Austin Abrams attends the Los Angeles Premiere of Warner Bros. Pictures and New Line Cinema's "Weapons" at The United Theater on Broadway on July 31, 2025 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Frazer Harrison/Getty Images)
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Brian Cox
Andrew Morales for Variety
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Richard Shotwell/Variety
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CABOURG, FRANCE - JUNE 13: Valentin Campagne attends the "Coward" photocall during Day Four of the 40th Cabourg Film Festival on June 13, 2026 in Cabourg, France. (Photo by Aurore Marechal/Getty Images)
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CABOURG, FRANCE - JUNE 13: Emmanuel Macchia attends the "Coward" photocall during Day Four of the 40th Cabourg Film Festival on June 13, 2026 in Cabourg, France. (Photo by Aurore Marechal/Getty Images)
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CANNES, FRANCE - MAY 18: Hwang Jung-min poses during the "Hope" photocall at the 79th annual Cannes Film Festival at Palais des Festivals on May 18, 2026 in Cannes, France. (Photo by Aurore Marechal/Getty Images)
Aurore Marechal/Getty Images
Anne Hathaway has overtaken Penélope Cruz (La Bola Negra) as the Best Supporting Actress front-runner. Experts have her at 90% and in first place. The open question is whether Universal ultimately campaigns Hathaway's Penelope in lead or supporting. The role has enough gravitas to warrant a Best Actress campaign, which would clear space for another Odyssey performance to break into the supporting race.
That's where Samantha Morton comes in. The two-time Oscar nominee (Sweet and Lowdown, In America) continues to climb as Circe, now just outside the top five in sixth place.
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CANNES, FRANCE - MAY 19: Victoria Luengo departs the "Amarga Navidad" (Bitter Christmas) screening during the 79th annual Cannes Film Festival at Palais des Festivals on May 19, 2026 in Cannes, France. (Photo by Aurore Marechal/Getty Images)
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PARIS, FRANCE - SEPTEMBER 27: Cara Delevingne attends the "Cara Loves Karl Paris" party as part of Paris Fashion Week on September 27, 2022 in Paris, France. (Photo by Victor Boyko/Getty Images for Karl Lagerfeld)
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Elisabeth Shue
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BERLIN, GERMANY - FEBRUARY 17: Julia Jones poses at the "The Weight" photocall during the 76th Berlinale International Film Festival Berlin at Grand Hyatt Hotel on February 17, 2026 in Berlin, Germany. (Photo by Sebastian Reuter/Getty Images)
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Michael Buckner/Variety
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Giovanni Giannoni for WWD
Best Supporting Actor is the most crowded of The Odyssey's categories. Robert Pattinson and John Leguizamo currently sit seventh and eighth, respectively, in the combined odds — and as more people see the film, these two have been getting the most buzz from passionate fans exiting the theater. Current odds favor Paul Giamatti (The Debut), John Goodman (Digger), Sam Rockwell and Steve Buscemi (Wild Horse Nine), and Edward Norton (The Invite).
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LONDON, ENGLAND - SEPTEMBER 27: Frank Dillane during the BFI Presents "Urchin" Preview & Q&A at BFI Southbank on September 27, 2025 in London, England. (Photo by Eamonn M. McCormack/Getty Images for BFI)
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Chris Messina
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Damian Lewis
Clint Spaulding/Variety
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Josh Brolin
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Toheeb Jimoh
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Benedict Wong
JIM RUYMEN/UPI/Newscom/The Mega Agency
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NEW YORK, NEW YORK - OCTOBER 03: (L-R) Adam Driver and Tom Waits attend the "Father Mother Sister Brother" Backstage during the 63rd New York Film Festival at Alice Tully Hall, Lincoln Center on October 03, 2025 in New York City. (Photo by Michael Loccisano/Getty Images for FLC)
Michael Loccisano/Getty Images
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NEW YORK, NEW YORK - JUNE 11: Gerard Butler attends the "How To Train Your Dragon" premiere during the 2025 Tribeca Festival at SVA Theater on June 11, 2025 in New York City. (Photo by Jamie McCarthy/Getty Images for Tribeca Festival)
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David Buchan for Variety
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LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - SEPTEMBER 08: Cooper Hoffman arrives at the Los Angeles Special Screening Of Lionsgate's "The Long Walk" at The Egyptian Theatre Hollywood on September 08, 2025 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Kevin Winter/Getty Images)
Kevin Winter/Getty Images
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Al Pacino
Marco Grob/Variety
The Odyssey's Best Adapted Screenplay case is climbing right alongside its acting and directing odds. Nolan's script is up to third place in the combined rankings, trailing Project Hail Mary and La Bola Negra, and tied for the experts lead with Project Hail Mary at 100%.
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With a $1 billion global run in sight, Nolan may be riding the biggest hit of his career — and The Odyssey's Oscar case is only getting louder heading into fall.
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