Just over half of Americans are confident the 2026 midterms will be fair.
A person drops off a mail-in ballot during early voting outside the Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder building on June 1, 2026, in Norwalk, California. (Ronaldo Bolaños/Los Angeles Times via Getty Images)
A narrow majority of Americans (55%) are confident that this November’s midterm elections will be conducted fairly and accurately – down from 61% ahead of the 2024 elections, 64% in 2022 and 59% in 2020.
Confidence in the fairness and accuracy of elections is lower than in past years, but with no partisan gap
% who are ___ confident that the elections this November will be conducted fairly and accurately

Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted July 6-12, 2026.
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Confidence in the fairness and accuracy of elections is lower than in past years, but with no partisan gap
% who are ___ confident that the elections this November will be conducted fairly and accurately
| Group | Somewhat | Very | NET | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr ’20 | Total | 45 | 14 | 59 |
| Aug ’22 | Total | 39 | 25 | 64 |
| Jul ’24 | Total | 37 | 24 | 61 |
| Jul ’26 | Total | 40 | 15 | 55 |
| Apr ’20 | Rep/Lean Rep | 55 | 20 | 75 |
| Aug ’22 | Rep/Lean Rep | 34 | 12 | 46 |
| Jul ’24 | Rep/Lean Rep | 36 | 11 | 47 |
| Jul ’26 | Rep/Lean Rep | 42 | 13 | 55 |
| Apr ’20 | Dem/Lean Dem | 37 | 9 | 46 |
| Aug ’22 | Dem/Lean Dem | 43 | 37 | 81 |
| Jul ’24 | Dem/Lean Dem | 38 | 39 | 77 |
| Jul ’26 | Dem/Lean Dem | 39 | 18 | 58 |
Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted July 6-12, 2026.
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
But in contrast to those earlier years, Americans’ views don’t differ substantially by party today, even as Republicans and Democrats express different concerns about elections.
Among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents:This Pew Research Center analysis looks at Americans’ views about the upcoming midterm elections, including whether they will be conducted fairly and accurately and whether all eligible citizens – and no ineligible voters – will be able to vote if they wish to.
Why did we do this?Pew Research Center does research to help the public, media and decision-makers understand important topics. We have studied Americans’ views of voting and elections for decades.
Learn more about Pew Research Center and our politics research.
Most of the data for this analysis comes from a Center survey of 3,554 U.S. adults conducted July 6-12, 2026. Everyone who took this survey is part of the Center’s American Trends Panel. The survey reflects the views of all U.S. adults. Here are the July survey questions we used for this analysis, the detailed responses and the survey methodology.
This analysis also uses data from a Center survey conducted April 20-26, 2026. Here are the April survey questions, along with responses, and the survey methodology.
Among Democrats and Democratic leaners:The new Pew Research Center survey of 3,554 adults was conducted July 6-12. The survey also finds that 66% of Americans overall are very or somewhat confident that all citizens who want to vote this November will be able to cast ballots.
Republicans have long been more likely than Democrats to express confidence on this question. But the partisan gap was narrower in 2024 and 2022 than it is today:
Republicans are far more confident than Democrats that all citizens who want to vote will be able to
% who are ___ confident that all citizens who want to vote in the elections this November will be able to

Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted July 6-12, 2026.
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Republicans are far more confident than Democrats that all citizens who want to vote will be able to
% who are ___ confident that all citizens who want to vote in the elections this November will be able to
| Group | Somewhat | Very | NET | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr ’20 | Total | 39 | 25 | 63 |
| Aug ’22 | Total | 40 | 33 | 73 |
| Jul ’24 | Total | 42 | 33 | 76 |
| Jul ’26 | Total | 39 | 28 | 66 |
| Apr ’20 | Rep/Lean Rep | 46 | 41 | 87 |
| Aug ’22 | Rep/Lean Rep | 38 | 45 | 83 |
| Jul ’24 | Rep/Lean Rep | 40 | 43 | 83 |
| Jul ’26 | Rep/Lean Rep | 36 | 47 | 83 |
| Apr ’20 | Dem/Lean Dem | 32 | 11 | 43 |
| Aug ’22 | Dem/Lean Dem | 42 | 24 | 66 |
| Jul ’24 | Dem/Lean Dem | 45 | 25 | 71 |
| Jul ’26 | Dem/Lean Dem | 41 | 12 | 53 |
Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted July 6-12, 2026.
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
However, the partisan gap was even wider in April 2020 than it is today. At the time, 87% of Republicans and fewer than half of Democrats (43%) expressed confidence. And two-thirds of Americans – including 80% of Democrats – thought it was very or somewhat likely that the COVID-19 pandemic would significantly disrupt Americans’ ability to vote that November.
Will all eligible voters – and no ineligible voters – be able to vote?A separate Pew Research Center survey – conducted April 20-26, 2026, among 5,103 U.S. adults – finds that an overwhelming majority of the public (90%) says it is very or somewhat important that “no eligible voters are prevented from voting” in U.S. elections. Nearly as many (85%) say it is important that “no ineligible voters are permitted to vote.”
Wide, bipartisan majorities view each of these as at least somewhat important:
But there are substantial partisan differences on whether U.S. elections achieve these goals. Republicans are 16 percentage points more likely than Democrats (77% vs. 61%) to say the following statement describes U.S. elections very or somewhat well: “No eligible voters are prevented from voting.”
Wide partisan differences in perceptions of whether any eligible voters are prevented from voting – and whether any ineligible voters are permitted to do so
How well does each describe elections in the U.S.? (%)

Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted April 20-26, 2026.
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Wide partisan differences in perceptions of whether any eligible voters are prevented from voting – and whether any ineligible voters are permitted to do so
How well does each describe elections in the U.S.? (%)
| Question | Very well | Somewhat well | NET | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | No eligible voters are prevented from voting | 30 | 38 | 68 |
| Rep/Lean Rep | No eligible voters are prevented from voting | 39 | 38 | 77 |
| Dem/Lean Dem | No eligible voters are prevented from voting | 23 | 38 | 61 |
| Total | No ineligible voters are permitted to vote | 29 | 29 | 58 |
| Rep/Lean Rep | No ineligible voters are permitted to vote | 12 | 25 | 37 |
| Dem/Lean Dem | No ineligible voters are permitted to vote | 46 | 33 | 79 |
Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted April 20-26, 2026.
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
The two groups are even further apart when it comes to ineligible voters casting ballots. Democrats are far more likely than Republicans (79% vs. 37%) to say the following statement describes U.S. elections at least somewhat well: “No ineligible voters are permitted to vote.” Fewer than half of Democrats (46%) and just 12% of Republicans say this statement describes elections very well.
Public views – including partisan differences – are largely unchanged on these questions since we first asked them in 2018.
Note: Here are the July survey questions we used for this analysis, the detailed responses and the survey methodology. And here are the April survey questions, along with responses, and the survey methodology.
Additional demographic chartOlder Americans, those with college degrees have greater confidence in upcoming midterm elections
% who are ___ confident that the elections this November will be conducted fairly and accurately

Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted July 6-12, 2026.
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Older Americans, those with college degrees have greater confidence in upcoming midterm elections
% who are ___ confident that the elections this November will be conducted fairly and accurately
| Group | Somewhat | Very | NET | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | Total | 40 | 15 | 55 |
| White | Race/Ethnicity | 42 | 15 | 57 |
| Hispanic | Race/Ethnicity | 39 | 15 | 54 |
| Black | Race/Ethnicity | 32 | 18 | 50 |
| Asian* | Race/Ethnicity | 44 | 18 | 62 |
| Ages 18-29 | Age | 35 | 14 | 50 |
| 30-49 | Age | 37 | 12 | 49 |
| 50-64 | Age | 43 | 16 | 59 |
| 65+ | Age | 47 | 19 | 66 |
| College grad+ | Education | 44 | 17 | 61 |
| No college degree | Education | 38 | 14 | 52 |
| Rep/Lean Rep | Rep/Lean Rep | 42 | 13 | 55 |
| Conserv | Rep/Lean Rep | 41 | 11 | 53 |
| Mod/Lib | Rep/Lean Rep | 42 | 16 | 59 |
| Dem/Lean Dem | Dem/Lean Dem | 39 | 18 | 58 |
| Cons/Mod | Dem/Lean Dem | 41 | 20 | 61 |
| Liberal | Dem/Lean Dem | 37 | 16 | 54 |
Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted July 6-12, 2026.
PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Andrew Daniller is a research associate focusing on politics at Pew Research Center.
| # | Наименование новости | Тональность | Информативность | Дата публикации |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Midterm voting preferences by race and ethnicity, age, and other demographics | 0 | 16.54 | 23-07-2026 |
| 2 | As the 2026 Midterms Approach, Economy Is Front and Center | 0 | 16.2 | 23-07-2026 |
| 3 | Should congressional candidates seek common ground or push hard for party priorities? | 0 | 7.57 | 23-07-2026 |
| 4 | Опрос: половина избирателей-республиканцев в США не верит в правильный подсчет их голосов | 0 | 0 | 02-11-2021 |
| 5 | Americans and the 2026 midterms | 0 | 11.17 | 31-07-2026 |
| 6 | Favorable views of Supreme Court remain near historic low | 0 | 6.29 | 30-07-2026 |
| 7 | Опрос: почти половина американцев сомневается, что выборы президента пройдут честно | 0 | 0 | 21-08-2020 |
| 8 | US House of Representatives 2026 forecast | 5 | 7 | 21-04-2026 |
| 9 | US Politics 2026 |OT1| Mega Midterm Mania | 0 | 38.57 | 29-07-2026 |
| 10 | Almost half in poll don't consider themselves Democrats or Republicans | 0 | 5 | 17-06-2026 |